Comments on: Predict Olympic medal counts on Yoopick http://blog.oddhead.com/2008/08/15/predict-olympic-medal-counts-on-yoopick/ Musings of a computer scientist and Yahoo on prediction markets, gambling, and estimating the odds of everything Thu, 11 Mar 2010 12:32:57 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: David Pennock http://blog.oddhead.com/2008/08/15/predict-olympic-medal-counts-on-yoopick/comment-page-1/#comment-345 David Pennock Mon, 18 Aug 2008 17:21:13 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/2008/08/15/predict-olympic-medal-counts-on-yoopick/#comment-345 Good point Josh. We will close out the markets based on reported medal counts at the conclusion of the games. Any revocations after that won't count. We're using <a href="http://blog.oddhead.com/2006/10/30/implementing-hansons-market-maker/" rel="nofollow">Hanson's market maker</a>. Good point Josh. We will close out the markets based on reported medal counts at the conclusion of the games. Any revocations after that won’t count.

We’re using Hanson’s market maker.

]]> By: josh http://blog.oddhead.com/2008/08/15/predict-olympic-medal-counts-on-yoopick/comment-page-1/#comment-344 josh Mon, 18 Aug 2008 12:45:29 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/2008/08/15/predict-olympic-medal-counts-on-yoopick/#comment-344 Hmm. How often are medals revoked after they have been awarded? What probability updating mechanism are you using? Hmm. How often are medals revoked after they have been awarded?

What probability updating mechanism are you using?

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