Comments on: Predictalot! (And we mean alot) http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/ Musings of a computer scientist on predictions, odds, and markets Thu, 09 Feb 2012 08:47:34 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Option Tips http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-7696 Option Tips Thu, 30 Sep 2010 06:10:15 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-7696 This is a great little game.Love the game, wish there were some prizes though. Also, I would like to be able to see my pick history. If that option is available I overlooked it, but overall its a great game. <a href="http://niftyoptiontips.wordpress.com/sure-shot-nifty-option-tips/" rel="nofollow">Option Tips</a> This is a great little game.Love the game, wish there were some prizes though. Also, I would like to be able to see my pick history. If that option is available I overlooked it, but overall its a great game.

Option Tips

]]> By: FinancialSpreadBetting http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-2698 FinancialSpreadBetting Tue, 11 May 2010 10:04:24 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-2698 Would be great if there was something like this available for soccer. Would be great if there was something like this available for soccer.

]]> By: David Pennock http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-2175 David Pennock Fri, 19 Mar 2010 15:45:46 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-2175 Questioner: The sum of seeds math is fixed. Polish: The actual game outcomes should be updated faster (almost real time) now. Those players probably got lucky based on buying and selling on price fluctuations. Thanks for playing and for your feedback! Keep it coming: thanks for helping us improve the app. Questioner: The sum of seeds math is fixed.

Polish: The actual game outcomes should be updated faster (almost real time) now. Those players probably got lucky based on buying and selling on price fluctuations.

Thanks for playing and for your feedback! Keep it coming: thanks for helping us improve the app.

]]> By: Polish this knob http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-2163 Polish this knob Fri, 19 Mar 2010 02:27:56 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-2163 Predictalot could be gamed earlier in the day. You need to close the head-to-head betting as soon as a game ends. I'm also wondering how some folks on the leader board achieved their point totals before any of the games had been played. Predictalot could be gamed earlier in the day. You need to close the head-to-head betting as soon as a game ends. I’m also wondering how some folks on the leader board achieved their point totals before any of the games had been played.

]]> By: Let the madness begin: Oddhead Blog: Prediction Markets, Gambling, Electronic Commerce, Artificial Intelligence: David Pennock: Yahoo! Research http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-2107 Let the madness begin: Oddhead Blog: Prediction Markets, Gambling, Electronic Commerce, Artificial Intelligence: David Pennock: Yahoo! Research Tue, 16 Mar 2010 00:25:35 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-2107 [...] Predictalot! (And we mean alot) [...] [...] Predictalot! (And we mean alot) [...]

]]> By: Questioner http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-2060 Questioner Fri, 12 Mar 2010 13:10:35 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-2060 Oh, there are four #1 seeds!?!? Shows you what I know! My previous comment was predicated on there only being one #1 seed. Oh, there are four #1 seeds!?!? Shows you what I know! My previous comment was predicated on there only being one #1 seed.

]]> By: David Pennock http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-2031 David Pennock Fri, 12 Mar 2010 02:39:46 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-2031 Questioner: I think you're right that something is incorrect there; we're investigating. Note it is definitely possible for the sum of seeds to be less than 10, because there are four #1 seeds, four #2 seeds, four #3 seeds, etc. However it should be impossible for the sum of seeds in the final four to be less than 4. Questioner: I think you’re right that something is incorrect there; we’re investigating. Note it is definitely possible for the sum of seeds to be less than 10, because there are four #1 seeds, four #2 seeds, four #3 seeds, etc. However it should be impossible for the sum of seeds in the final four to be less than 4.

]]> By: Questioner http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-2028 Questioner Fri, 12 Mar 2010 00:43:48 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-2028 Well I'm not sure that the site/application is correctly inferring the odds of "sum of seeds" style bets. For example, how many of the 9.2 quintillion outcomes are there in which the sum of seeds for the Final Four would be less than 10? By my thinking it's 0. The application seems to think it's possible. Well I’m not sure that the site/application is correctly inferring the odds of “sum of seeds” style bets. For example, how many of the 9.2 quintillion outcomes are there in which the sum of seeds for the Final Four would be less than 10? By my thinking it’s 0. The application seems to think it’s possible.

]]> By: David Pennock http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-1973 David Pennock Sun, 07 Mar 2010 14:35:11 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-1973 Questioner: yes, exactly right. Questioner: yes, exactly right.

]]> By: Questioner http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/05/predictalot/#comment-1960 Questioner Sat, 06 Mar 2010 17:45:49 +0000 http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1067#comment-1960 Do the "sum of the seeds" predictions mean what I think they mean? So if the first, second, third, and fourth seeded teams our in the final four, is the sum of the seeds 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 or 10? Do the “sum of the seeds” predictions mean what I think they mean? So if the first, second, third, and fourth seeded teams our in the final four, is the sum of the seeds 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 or 10?

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