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	<title>Comments on: Revisiting predictions: Google and Avatar</title>
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	<link>http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/13/revisiting-predictions-google-avatar/</link>
	<description>Musings of a computer scientist on predictions, odds, and markets</description>
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		<title>By: David Pennock</title>
		<link>http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/13/revisiting-predictions-google-avatar/#comment-3356</link>
		<dc:creator>David Pennock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jul 2010 15:00:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1201#comment-3356</guid>
		<description>I also still stand behind &lt;a href=&quot;http://blog.oddhead.com/2007/04/18/betting-on-sirius-and-xm-to-die/&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;my April 2007 prediction about the eventual decline of satellite radio&lt;/a&gt;. Sirius-XM&#039;s  stock is down 67% since then. Others agree:

http://www.minyanville.com/businessmarkets/articles/sirius-xm-ipod-iphone-bluetooth-apple/1/8/2010/id/26283</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I also still stand behind <a href="http://blog.oddhead.com/2007/04/18/betting-on-sirius-and-xm-to-die/" rel="nofollow">my April 2007 prediction about the eventual decline of satellite radio</a>. Sirius-XM&#8217;s  stock is down 67% since then. Others agree:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.minyanville.com/businessmarkets/articles/sirius-xm-ipod-iphone-bluetooth-apple/1/8/2010/id/26283" rel="nofollow">http://www.minyanville.com/businessmarkets/articles/sirius-xm-ipod-iphone-bluetooth-apple/1/8/2010/id/26283</a></p>
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		<title>By: Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictions &#124; Midas Oracle .ORG</title>
		<link>http://blog.oddhead.com/2010/03/13/revisiting-predictions-google-avatar/#comment-2090</link>
		<dc:creator>Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictions &#124; Midas Oracle .ORG</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Mar 2010 10:22:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.oddhead.com/?p=1201#comment-2090</guid>
		<description>[...] Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictions   Written by Chris F. Masse on March 14, 2010 &#8212; Leave a Comment     He cherry-picks positive outcomes in hindsight, and he measures probabilistic predictions categorica.... [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Why you should *never* trust David Pennock when he brags about the accuracy of his predictions   Written by Chris F. Masse on March 14, 2010 &mdash; Leave a Comment     He cherry-picks positive outcomes in hindsight, and he measures probabilistic predictions categorica&#8230;. [...]</p>
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